LA-04: The AP Hasn't Called This Race ... by: ryan Sat Dec 06, 2008 at 19:51:39 PM CST Although the Secretary of State is reporting that Fleming (R) has 356 more votes tonight in the unofficial tallies of electronic and absentee voting.  Might it be provisional ballots?  What's causing the AP to hold back? Aight, we've got 640 precincts in this district ... it's a large district, roughly the size of the entire state of Rhode Island, methinks.  With 640 of 640 precincts in: Candidate Votes % of Vote Paul Carmouche (D) 44,141 47.69% John Fleming (R) 44,497 48.07% It's down to Bossier Parish, y'all ... a traditionally GOP parish.  Folks, this one is gonna get REALLY REALLY REALLY close.  All precincts in save for 37 from Bossier Parish. The numbers are not going to add up to 100% because there are two minor party candidates that will only take roughly 3-4% of the vote at the most.  My guess is they'll combine for 2% when it's all in.   DAMNIT!  356 freaking votes! ryan :: LA-04: The AP Hasn't Called This Race ... Tags: LA-04, Paul Carmouche, John Fleming, Election Results, (All Tags) Print Friendly View Send As Email LA-04: The AP Hasn't Called This Race ... | 31 comments by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Fleming up 53-44 (0.00 / 0) Fleming leading 53-44 based on 5 precincts from DeSoto which McCain won last month by 56-43. by: RandySF @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 02:08:33 AM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Yeah, it's early Randy ... (0.00 / 0) Patience is a virtue, my friend.   "I was against NAFTA and CAFTA, and I'll be against SHAFTA." by: ryan @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 02:14:43 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Wait until Caddo and Natchitoches come in ... n/t (0.00 / 0) "I was against NAFTA and CAFTA, and I'll be against SHAFTA." by: ryan @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 02:18:47 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment I heard they were tied in Natchitoches (0.00 / 0) by: RandySF @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 02:19:57 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment From where? (0.00 / 0) Nothing's come in from Natchitoches! "I was against NAFTA and CAFTA, and I'll be against SHAFTA." by: ryan @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 02:21:45 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Here (0.00 / 0) Link by: RandySF @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 02:24:17 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment WOW. The early voting? (0.00 / 0) That's incredible! "I was against NAFTA and CAFTA, and I'll be against SHAFTA." by: ryan @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 02:25:29 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment That's actually a good sign, Randy ... (0.00 / 0) The GOP down here really works to get their folks to early vote or absentee vote.  The Dems down here didn't until this year.  So the fact that it's tied right now in Natchitoches is a GOOD sign. "I was against NAFTA and CAFTA, and I'll be against SHAFTA." by: ryan @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 02:27:57 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Thinking of the car crash ad (0.00 / 0) Is there a sense that the graphic car crash ad may have turned people off? by: RandySF @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 02:29:04 AM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment It may have ... because it was blatantly false (0.00 / 0) "I was against NAFTA and CAFTA, and I'll be against SHAFTA." by: ryan @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 02:34:08 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment The ad Randy's talking about is below: (0.00 / 0) The Shreveport TImes called prior attacks on Carmouche's crime-fighting record false and misleading. "I was against NAFTA and CAFTA, and I'll be against SHAFTA." by: ryan @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 02:39:31 AM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Is it just the two of us tonight? (0.00 / 0) Is the Giant Squid at hq? by: RandySF @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 02:51:11 AM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment There's a LOT of lurkers ... (0.00 / 0) Over 100 unique hits in the last hour.   "I was against NAFTA and CAFTA, and I'll be against SHAFTA." by: ryan @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 02:55:17 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment I'm calling it for Carmouche (0.00 / 0) by: RandySF @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 03:05:42 AM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment I wouldn't be so quick ... (0.00 / 0) Bossier is likely to make it close "I was against NAFTA and CAFTA, and I'll be against SHAFTA." by: ryan @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 03:08:04 AM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment The real winner in this election is (0.00 / 0) Chester T. "Catfish" Kelley: by: CenLamar @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 03:19:06 AM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Carmouche wins in Fleming's home parish (0.00 / 0) Carmouche won Webster Parish, Fleming's home parish. Embarrassing for Fleming.   by: CenLamar @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 03:21:17 AM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment I've been refreshing all night (0.00 / 1) ...and I want to adopt Catfish as my grandpa by: intangible @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 03:21:48 AM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment It's all about Bossier Parish right now (0.00 / 1) It's the only place Fleming has to pick up some votes.  There are 65 precincts outstanding, and it's the only place he will beat Carmouche convincingly.  But will it be enough? "I was against NAFTA and CAFTA, and I'll be against SHAFTA." by: ryan @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 03:22:48 AM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Bossier City (0.00 / 0) Is the key. Fleming will win the outlying areas and towns like Benton. If Carmouche can just tie Fleming in Bossier City, he should make it through.   by: CenLamar @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 03:27:02 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Still 20+ precincts left in Cadoo (0.00 / 0) I wonder where they are. by: RandySF @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 03:29:41 AM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment I know we're all a little on edge right now... (0.00 / 0) But this should take some of the edge off. http://bothpartiesarescrewingy... Catfish's website. His logo, fittingly, is a screw.   by: CenLamar @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 03:40:21 AM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Are the absentee and early votes already in? (0.00 / 0) by: intangible @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 04:06:07 AM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Typically (0.00 / 0) They're counted first. So, probably. This is a heart breaker. 350 votes. Unbelievable.   by: CenLamar @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 04:12:43 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Recount? (0.00 / 0) by: intangible @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 04:13:34 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment I can't find the law on recounts in the State... (0.00 / 0) Ryan does point out that this was the closest election in that district in 20 years. The incumbent was a Republican, the district is heavily Republican, and the Democrat NEARLY won. I'm trying to see the silver lining here. Perhaps if Carmouche had played more to economic issues and lambasted Fleming's wingnut ridiculousness (and his plan to implement a 23% national sales tax), things would have been different. I think we're all a little tired of Democrats trying to "out-Republican" the Republican candidate on social issues.   by: CenLamar @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 04:21:00 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Perhaps if Carmouche would have like....showed up at some stuff. (0.00 / 0) ...I'm still really proud of him, though.   by: intangible @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 04:23:26 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Campaign just said they can't do a recount of the electronic ballots... (0.00 / 1) by: intangible @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 04:34:47 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment So that would mean they can only recount absentee (0.00 / 0) Are the electronic machines really THAT reliable? It seems crazy that you can't recount on electronic machines.   by: CenLamar @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 04:49:55 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Maybe provisionals? But I'm not sure how many we could net from that. (0.00 / 0) by: intangible @ Sun Dec 07, 2008 at 04:56:32 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment LA-04: The AP Hasn't Called This Race ... | 31 comments

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