LA-Sen: The Sinator Is Vulnerable

by: ryan

Fri Mar 06, 2009 at 06:57:45 AM CST


The Big Orange Blog commissioned Research 2000 to poll Louisiana this week. They polled the Senate race using Charlie Melancon and Don Cazayoux as stand-ins for strong Democratic candidate:

Candidate Poll %
David Vitter (R) 48%
Charlie Melancon (D) 41%

Candidate Poll %
David Vitter (R) 48%
Don Cazayoux (D) 39%

Since Charlie has all but essentially closed the door on a Senate run, and Don is seeming more and more like a lock for the soon to be vacant U.S. Attorney seat in the Middle District (which covers Baton Rouge), these numbers are AMAZING. First of all, Vitter's held under 50% against Congressmen that aren't even going to run.

If Mr. Perkins gives him a fight for the fundie vote in a Republican primary, Vitter very well may be in serious trouble once he gets in a general election, as he will have to shore the GOP base while trying to convince independents that he's got their concerns covered up in Washington.

But here's one of the nuggets of gold from that poll:

Candidate Poll %
David Vitter (R) 43%
Jay Dardenne (R) 32%
Stormy Daniels (R) 1%

If Secretary of State Jay Dardenne were to throw his hat into a Republican primary, he would force Vitter into a run-off. As for Ms. Daniels 1% showing in this poll ... few folks even know who she is who she is. Once she gets on the air, barnstorms the state, meets Louisianans, there should be another poll done. Then we'll know if her candidacy is for real. Until then, it's too early to count her out.

ryan :: LA-Sen: The Sinator Is Vulnerable
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