LA-06: Fundraising #'s by: ryan Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 20:42:31 PM CDT Candidate Money Raised Cash on Hand Don Cazayoux $612,745 $159,870.05 Michael Jackson $53,615 $18,226.45 Damn, that's a huge fundraising disparity, though not surprising in light of the all the good reports for Mr. Cazayoux from the Cook Political Report.  However, if Jackson wins the run-off, his campaign will truly be the little engine that could.   Candidate Money Raised Laurinda Calongne $324,005.60 $60,957.94 "Woody" Jenkins $324,835.85 $57,221.83 Again, I should point out that Ms. Calongne is giving herself most of the money she is raising - having thrown some $264,000 of her own money into the race.   ryan :: LA-06: Fundraising #'s Tags: LA-06, louisiana, 2008, Don Cazayoux, Michael Jackson, Laurinda Calongne, Woody Jenkins, (All Tags) Print Friendly View Send As Email LA-06: Fundraising #'s | 14 comments by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Who do you think will win the Dem runoff? (0.00 / 0) I don't know the district well, but I get the feeling that Jackson commands a lot more devotion than Cazayoux. In a  runoff where turnout will likely be small, it could make the difference. Correct me if I am off, though. by: RandySF @ Tue Apr 01, 2008 at 18:33:06 PM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Am I correct in assuming... (0.00 / 1) That the "SF" means San Francisco or Santa Fe, and not Saint Francisville? Don scored 16,636 votes in the primary, versus Mike's 12,941.  It appears that Don has a bigger 'base' than Mike, to be sure. Both involved respectable turnout, and so the real questions for Saturday are: 1) What happens to the Kopplin supporters? 2) What happens to the Decuir supporters? 3) Has Michael Jackson expanded his base? My feeling is: 1) A small portion of the Kopplin people are going to stay home, as their enthusiasm for the race was tied up specifically in the candidacy of Kopplin, and Kopplin alone. Call this 10-20% of Kopplin people. The remainder will be divided, with 60% going to Cazayoux, with the understanding that Cazayoux will probably be the 'best bet' against Woody, and the remaining 20% going to Jackson, as he's pro-choice. 2) The Decuir supporters are similar demographically to Kopplin's people (educated, professional types) but skews more toward moderates and African-Americans. wojeaux could probably give better insight on this one. 3) Without a doubt Michael Jackson has increased his support since the primary... I expect him to have made plenty of inroads. But... 4) Don's also become a bit more of a household name here, his ads have increased his visibility, and he's been on the jambalaya and gumbo-dinner circuit for the past 3 weeks. Labor's excited about him. But, all in all, I expect it to go something like this: Don and Mike come to a near tie in EBR Parish, with Jackson holding a slight advantage (as much as 55/45, Jackson). Don, wins the surrounding parishes by a more comfortable margin with a 65/35 or better (with 85/15 in Livingston) margin in all but St. Helena. The surrounding parishes will put Don over. by: Matt D @ Tue Apr 01, 2008 at 19:11:35 PM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment You're right, I am in San Francisco (0.00 / 0) The Decuir supporters are similar demographically to Kopplin's people (educated, professional types) but skews more toward moderates and African-Americans. wojeaux could probably give better insight on this one. Sounds like it might be an event split between the two. If Cazayoux is the nominee, I would think he might benefit from a little assistance from Obama.   by: RandySF @ Tue Apr 01, 2008 at 20:05:35 PM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment BTW I'm a nortorious Devil's Advocate (0.00 / 0) I like to test an assumption as strongly as possibly by posing an opposite hypothesis. by: RandySF @ Tue Apr 01, 2008 at 20:34:04 PM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment As for Obama... (0.00 / 0) We'll see... the way things run around here, I wouldn't be surprised if Don were a bigger asset for Obama (say, later in the year) than Obama was for Don. by: Matt D @ Tue Apr 01, 2008 at 23:26:51 PM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment To explain that... (0.00 / 0) But, that's because racial politics are always tricky around here. by: Matt D @ Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 01:50:18 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Cazayoux wins 60/40 (0.00 / 1) by: noneoftheabove @ Tue Apr 01, 2008 at 20:40:27 PM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment LA-06: Fundraising #'s | 14 comments

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