LA-04: Carmouche In The Lead

by: ryan

Thu Aug 07, 2008 at 11:31:44 AM CDT


A poll done by the Kitchens Group, conducted between July 16-21, 2008 in LA-04 shows Democratic candidate Paul Carmouche with "commanding leads" ranging from 13 to 19 percent against all three GOPers - Chris Gorman, John Fleming, and Jeff Thompson - in head to head matchups.

That's all good and fine, but I wouldn't put too much stock into this poll for one reason - it's all based on name recognition. The Kitchens Group was nice enough to give us the name recognition #'s via The Reduct Box, but not the head to head #'s:

    Paul Carmouche: 60%
    Chris Gorman: 41%
    John Fleming: 46%
    Jeff Thompson: 33%

The name id #'s jibe with the poll released by Mr. Fleming last week on the Republican primary to be held on September 6th:

    John Fleming: 43%
    Chris Gorman: 17%
    Jeff Thompson: 15%
    Undecided: 25%

So far, outgoing Rep. McCrery's endorsement of Thompson is NOT helping him over the finish line. Then again, there are some 32 days to turn it around. Expect the fight on the GOP side to get nasty as hall in the next few weeks, as there will be a run-off between the top two finishers if no one gets over 50% on September 6th.

ryan :: LA-04: Carmouche In The Lead
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Paul Carmouche is very popular and well thought of in Shreveport and Bossier, and will pull a lot of Republican support.  Sheriff Steve Prator is the only Republican who could have beaten Carmouche, and he decided to stay put.  Carmouche will nail it.

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