| E over at We Could Be Famous informs us of the latest poll on the Presidential race conducted in Louisiana by ARG, conducted over September 9-12 of 600 voters, with a margin of error of 4.5%. The overall findings are:
|
McCain |
Obama |
Other |
Undecided |
| Likely Voters |
50% |
43% |
1% |
6% |
The cross-tabs show that Democrats have some work to do in shoring up the base, as well as convincing Independents that Obama is the best candidate:
|
McCain |
Obama |
Other |
Undecided |
| Democrats (51%) |
22% |
71% |
1% |
6% |
| Republicans (27%) |
91% |
3% |
- |
6% |
| Independents (22%) |
63% |
27% |
2% |
8% |
|
McCain |
Obama |
Other |
Undecided |
| Men (46%) |
58% |
35% |
1% |
6% |
| Women (54%) |
43% |
50% |
1% |
6% |
The gender gap doesn't surprise me. I am surprised that more women are not supporting Obama, as McCain doesn't believe in pay equity, having refused to vote on it when it came up in the Senate earlier this year.
|
McCain |
Obama |
Other |
Undecided |
| 18 to 49(59%) |
45% |
47% |
1% |
7% |
| 50 and older(41%) |
56% |
37% |
1% |
6% |
The 50 and older numbers don't suprise me, as older folks are generally more resistant to change. The 18 to 49 age cohort numbers are slightly suprising, as Obama leads in this age category by a larger margin nationally. Then again, Obama hasn't been on the air here in Louisiana, and what little news most folks are getting on the Presidential campaign is from the BSM.
|
McCain |
Obama |
Other |
Undecided |
| White (68%) |
72% |
21% |
1% |
6% |
| African American (32%) |
2% |
90% |
1% |
7% |
These numbers are the least surprising of all. Expect to see the number of African Americans supporting Obama to go up to 95% or so by the time Election Day rolls around. As for the number of white supporters, there is a way for Obama to raise those numbers ...
All he has to do is make a swing through South Louisiana and talk about coastal restoration, and building CAT 5 Storm surge protection for REAL this time, along the lines of what the Dutch and Brits have done for their coastlines.
That will knock some Louisiana folks upside the head, and will take them away from McCain, as they will be able to say, "I met Barack Obama ... and he's not the spawn of the devil y'all been telling me he is." So, Obama campaign staff, if any of y'all are reading this, please, please, send the good Senator through Louisiana for two events - one in Houma, and one in Crowley or Jennings ... and let Barack talk to South Louisiana!
* The asterisk is here because I don't think he can win without visiting the state and going on the air down here. |
