LA-06: Cazayoux Leads by 17% by: ryan Mon Oct 13, 2008 at 13:37:41 PM CDT The DCCC released a poll today, which was conducted by Bennett, Petts & Normington on October 8th and 9th of 400 registered voters with a 4.9% margin of error: Candidate Poll % (September/July #'s) Bill Cassidy (R) 29% (32%/36%) Don Cazayoux (D) 46% (48%/43%) Michael Jackson (I) 9% (9%/13%) With two polls showing a double digit lead for Rep. Don Cazayoux, it's looking good. Add to the news that Cassidy admits to socialism for the wealthy, it's looking better. But, anything can happen in three weeks. I don't think any of us wanna wake up on November 5th thinking we should have done more. Leave it all on the field ... donate or volunteer! ryan :: LA-06: Cazayoux Leads by 17% Tags: Polls, Bill Cassidy, Michael Jackson, Don Cazayoux, LA-06, (All Tags) Print Friendly View Send As Email LA-06: Cazayoux Leads by 17% | 3 comments by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment I think polling for Nov. 4 is uncertain at best. (0.00 / 0) I hope Caz pulls this one off along with Obama and Mary on Nov. 4th.  However, there is no way anyone can accurately estimate the effect of race in this election.  Sure, it may encourage AA's to vote.  But, that may be more than offset by folks who would rather die than see a black president.  I would expect them to vote immediately before committing suicide. . . . No pollster or statistician can estimate this effect because there is no historical data for this type of situation.  And frankly, the last few polls in controversial races in La. were way off the mark. All I can say is that it will be interesting. by: wojeaux @ Tue Oct 14, 2008 at 22:10:20 PM UTC by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Which controversial races? (0.00 / 0) Blanco v. Jindal?  Edwards v. Duke?   "I was against NAFTA and CAFTA, and I'll be against SHAFTA." by: ryan @ Tue Oct 14, 2008 at 22:29:57 PM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment Controversial . . . or close. . . (0.00 / 0) I was thinking of . . . Nagin v. Pennington Nagin v. Landrieu Jefferson v. Carter Jefferson v. Richmond, Moreno et al Sharper v. et al. (still undecided) Callaway v. White In all of the above the winner began as a presumptive underdog according to initial data. . . . by: wojeaux @ Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 01:03:36 AM UTC [ Parent ] by: you @ soon To post this comment click here: Otherwise click cancel. You must enter a subject for your comment LA-06: Cazayoux Leads by 17% | 3 comments

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